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Advanced analytics to forecast, plan and optimise performance 

We deliver pioneering market intelligence through advanced location analytics, performance forecasting and network planning solutions. Our expertise empowers businesses to make smarter, data-backed commercial decisions.

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Why CACI?

Optimise market strategy 

Our expertise and proprietary data solutions give businesses the intelligence needed to make informed decisions. 

Unrivalled forecasting 

Our predictive models help clients anticipate trends, forecast sales and improve performance planning. 

Flexible and scalable 

Our tools seamlessly integrate with business operations, ensuring adaptability and long-term commercial success. 

Did you know?

23%

Only 23% of organisations use location analytics capabilities within their own business intelligence platforms

40%

Companies leveraging predictive analytics have reduced product inventories by up to 40% by optimising demand across different regions

Speak to one of our location intelligence experts

We’re tried and trusted in this industry and have been involved in location intelligence for decades.
  
If you’re looking for a demo, want to book a consultation, or both – we’re ready to help you cut the complexity out of location intelligence. 

Why France would best suit a Gymshark European market expansion

In this Article

A new sportswear retailer emerges on the international stage.

Gymshark, a fast-growing activewear brand, has been rapidly expanding its global reach and brand presence as it ventures into the world of brick and mortar. Having recently opened new stores in the UK (Stratford City), the Middle East (Dubai) and a pop-up concept in New York City, this brand with a prominent social media and predominately online presence is now rapidly infiltrating physical retail.

Despite not yet launching across wider Europe, it’s only a matter of time before these markets will be ventured into via physical pop-ups and stores. Selecting the right locations out of countless options may be a daunting task that comes with the territory, however. So, once the time comes for Gymshark to decide which locations to expand into that will maximise their increasing growing brand recognition and ROI, how should they effectively go about it?

In this two-part blog series, we’ll walk you through a hypothetical European market expansion for Gymshark in France, sharing how the brand can use data to accelerate and enhance their international store network strategies.

Three French cities that demonstrate viable market expansion potential based on insights taken from CACI datasets and segmentation tools will be focused on, as well as key takeaways that Gymshark (or brands in a similar position) could consider when it comes to international market expansion.

How France was identified as an optimal location for a Gymshark European expansion

CACI possesses a complete universe of defined retail areas to consider, a detailed understanding of different types of consumers and where they shop. This enables us to guide a brand like Gymshark to maximise success and value from go-to-market strategy and launch through to expanding into broader brand recognition and market share capture.

With this in mind, and with Gymshark expanding into physical and new regions, we investigated European markets that might fit their need should they decide to expand into Europe.

With Gymshark already a brand on CACI’s Brand Dimensions, a dataset tracking hundreds of the UK’s most popular and emerging brands to reveal spend, sales and average transaction value insights, key groups in French Acorn could also be identified.

Key Acorn groups were identified by using Brand Dimensions data followed by selecting key Acorn groups within French Acorn data, which correlated accordingly. In France alone there are over 10,000 retail areas, each with differing levels of existing premium clothing shops and competitors, types of customers, footfall, population and spend.

By comparing this to the expected view from Retail Footprint Europe, we could identify locations that were currently failing to engage Gymshark’s key shoppers but had the opportunity to.

From these collective findings, we were able to conclude the following three French locations that could benefit from the opening of Gymshark: Paris, Marseille and Besancon.

Why Paris would perform well in a Gymshark France expansion

According to our findings, Paris presents the highest performance potential and should be a primary focus for Gymshark. Aside from being the biggest city in France -an obvious bonus for any brand – Paris presents the best shopper demographic, a strong array of existing premium retailers and the ability to attract the relevant demographic groups that would align to Gymshark’s brand identity of being a premium retailer with similar retailers already in the centre.

Retail Footprint Europe enables the use of transactional data across brands to develop an understanding of the typical Gymshark shopper, brand positioning and establishing criteria for the most suitable locations for Gymshark to consider regarding new store openings.

Considering these criteria, Paris ranked incredibly high on Clothing and Footwear, with the Haussmann-Opera retail area Klepierre centre ranking among the top three across France.

Why Marseille would perform well in a Gymshark France expansion

Marseille presents itself as another viable option as our findings show it to be the middle ground between high affluence profiles and younger, ‘student life’ populations found in other larger, prominent French cities. The city’s strong clothing and footwear and high proportion of premium retailers also contributes to its performance potential. However, its lower ‘young and affluent’ target demographic runs a potential risk.

Why Besancon would perform well in a Gymshark France expansion

Despite Besancon presenting itself as more of a curveball, the granularity of our Retail Footprint findings demonstrate that in spite of its smaller size and lesser known location, the city is home to a strong clothing and retail offering including premium retailers, a high percentage of young and affluent shoppers and is overall more likely to attract the right shoppers.

Key takeaways that Gymshark can consider for a French market expansion

These aforementioned insights would enable Gymshark to better understand their long-term audience capture of sites through physical retail and experiment with different formats and experiential offerings.

Combining Retail Footprint data across Europe with demographic, transactional, brand alignment and footfall data can ultimately be used to shape an evolving store network strategy, and the national view further solidifies an understanding of the entire retail landscape of France.

Through these insights, Gymshark would be able to accelerate store openings with greater confidence and success if or when they decide to expand into Europe.

Ready to Find Your Next Market?

With insights from Retail Footprint Europe, pinpoint the best locations for your brand’s growth across Europe.

Stay tuned for next blog in this two-part series, where we’ll assess which Klepierre centres in these high-performing potential French cities could perform well in a Gymshark French market expansion.

Challenging areas for the grey belt: London and the South West

In this Article

In this final article in our grey belt series combining CACI’s housing demand data with VirginLand’s grey belt site identification, we take a deeper dive into two areas where the impact of the grey belt will be less obvious: London and the South West.

This is not to diminish the overall value of the initiative, but to point out that it is not the single answer to the UK’s housing challenges. To be most effective, grey belt reallocation should be considered alongside other mechanisms to accelerate housing delivery such as brownfield, infill, repurposing and urban regeneration.

How will the grey belt initiative affect London?

Home to over 7 million adults, London is by far the most densely populated region in the UK. As a result, demand for housing is particularly acute in the capital and the conversation is dominated by affordability. It’s easy to see why; house prices are 11 times the average household income, and private rent is 37% of income. Although households in London earn 17% more than the national average, these high prices mean that homes are 59% less affordable to buy and 32% less affordable to rent.

Chart showing that London house prices outweigh elevated incomes using CACI datasets

In this context, any initiative to increase the overall supply of housing in this region is welcome; particularly if it’s targeted at the more affordable end of the scale. So, what impact will the grey belt have in London?

Although home to 14% of the population, London can house just 0.4% of all grey belt homes – a total of 1,955 dwellings across 31 sites. This is not for want of green belt (22% of the London region, by area, is currently designated as green belt), but for want of suitable locations that could be re-designated.

Analysis by VirginLand shows that just 0.2% of the available green belt land is likely to be reallocated grey belt, with much of the London’s green belt holding additional designations like Designated Open Space, Country Park, Woodland or Nature Reserve and Conservation Area and Grade 1-3b agricultural land grades.

The challenge in London is also compounded by the location of the sites relative to movers. Being on the outskirts of the urban sprawl, just 11% of all London home movers live within the catchment of the identified sites; roughly 192,000 individuals. Although more than enough to absorb any new homes delivered, the scale of movers puts into perspective how limited the impact would be on demand; if all sites were built out to their fullest, there would be 98 movers for each home.

While there is little doubt that the 31 identified locations would be additive to the overall housing stock, the question is over how much of an impact these limited sites can have on a particularly strained market. With the population set to grow by another 6.1% in the next 10 years, London will need other initiatives, alongside the grey belt, to accelerate housing delivery in more urban neighbourhoods.

How will the grey belt initiative affect the South West?

Just 4.5% of the South West is designated as green belt, well below the national average. It therefore follows that grey belt opportunities in the South West will be similarly limited, and just 228 potential sites have been identified with the combined potential to deliver 11,868 new homes.

While this is not an insignificant number of homes, it represents just 2.2% of the total grey belt opportunity spread across 9.4% of the population. The location of grey belt sites also limits the initiative’s regional impact, as just 18% of the 1.6 million potential South West movers live within the grey belt catchment, against a national average of 36%.

Although limited in scope for the region as a whole, there are some pockets where the grey belt will be more impactful, and the characteristics of the catchment movers in these locations point to the type of homes that should be prioritised.

With concentrations of sites close to urban populations in the likes of Bristol, house-to-earning ratios and rent-to-earning within the grey belt catchment are higher than those outside of it (7.1 times income and 27.4% of income respectively). High concentrations of Family Renters, Tenant Living and Cash-Strapped Families within this catchment, and relatively large sites averaging 1.7 hectares, suggest a particular opportunity to deliver larger mixed neighbourhoods with high levels of rental product.

As with London, the grey belt initiative has the potential to support some of the housing needs of the South West, but an overarching housing strategy for the region should also be mindful of the 82% of home movers that live outside of the grey belt catchment.

How CACI can help?

To learn more about how you can ensure that your developments are meeting the demands of local movers, contact CACI.

Missed the previous blogs? Find the links to the series so far below:

Grey belt sites: what they are, locations & impact on housing

In this Article

In the previous blog within this series, CACI assessed the current state of the UK’s house building targets and how grey belt sites can lead to improved outcomes. Today, Virgin Land will dive deeper into what these grey belt sites are, including their locations and projected impact on the future of housing.  

Grey belt sites explained: freeing land for homes

The UK’s ongoing housing crisis has left politicians and planners scrambling for solutions. To address the shortfall, the new Labour government has introduced a fresh approach: grey belt sites. But what exactly does this mean, and how might it help? 

“Grey belt” refers to parts of the green belt that the government believes can be reclassified for development. These areas, while part of the green belt, make limited contributions to the five core purposes of the green belt, like safeguarding the countryside or stopping towns from merging together.

Since they no longer offer much in the way of environmental or spatial benefits, they could now be considered for development under new rules. The grey belt typically consists of previously developed land or parcels with minimal environmental or historical significance.

By shifting these areas from green belt protection to grey belt status, the government hopes to balance the need for housing with environmental sustainability. In practice, grey belt sites include land that may have been industrially or commercially used in the past, or areas close to urban centres that are no longer agriculturally productive.

These sites provide a critical opportunity to deliver housing where it’s most needed, particularly in regions where development has stagnated due to green belt restrictions. 

How many grey belt sites exist & where are they located?

At Virgin Land, we’ve conducted an extensive study and found around 14,000 possible Grey Belt sites across England and Scotland, covering about 17,500 hectares. That’s just over 1% of all Green Belt land in the country, underscoring the selective nature of this reclassification.

Most Grey Belt land can be found in older industrial towns, particularly in the Northwest and Midlands, where a whopping 64% of people in the Northwest live within two miles of a potential site (the national average is 38%). In future blog posts, we’ll take a closer look at the regions across the UK.

How could grey belt sites impact housing?

Reclassifying land as Grey Belt opens up a significant opportunity for housing development, especially in regions where supply has consistently failed to meet demand.

Based on current estimates, if development were to proceed at an average density of 30 dwellings per hectare, the identified Grey Belt sites could accommodate around 525,000 new homes. If densities were to increase to 35 or 40 dwellings per hectare, the number could rise to 610,000 or even 700,000 homes. But even with this potential, the government still wants to focus on brownfield first approach before using any Grey Belt land.

Local Planning Authorities (LPAs) are required to prioritise brownfield sites before considering greenfield or grey belt areas for development.

Future predictions of housing through grey belt sites

The grey belt idea is a big shift in how we think about land use, potentially opening up vast amounts of space for new housing. It’s especially promising for regions like the Northwest and Midlands, where building has been difficult in the past due to green belt restrictions.

However, this isn’t a magic fix—some areas like London and the Southeast still face substantial challenges when it comes to housing. Making the most of grey belt land will take careful planning and input from the public to ensure that the right balance is struck. This new approach could help ease the housing crisis, but only if it’s rolled out thoughtfully. 

How Virgin Land and CACI help?

To find out more about ensuring your developments meet the demands of local movers, contact CACI and they will be touch.

* This insightful blog has been authored by Steve Norman and Sam Bedford from Virgin Land.